The Barryfest Chronicles

Before it struck Cuba, Gustav was more analogous to a drunken guy trying to amble home.  Sure he may sway one way or another and get lost for a few blocks, but you had a pretty good idea where he was going to end up.  So yesterday afternoon, when the consensus on landfall was a category 4 ripper in the greater New Orleans Metro area, I was freaking the fuck out.

The latest news this morning is that it has weakened and possibly veered southwest of the bullseye that is the Greater New Orleans Metro area.  This surely is good news, but I do not feel like we are out of the woods just yet.  As I said, before he hit the Gulf, ’stav was merely a shitfaced college kid, challenging underclassmen to handstand competitions and losing his wallet in the process.  But him getting a taste of the big, unobstructed part of the Gulf is going to be like smoking a fat sack of PCP, going ape shit and robbing a bank.  So while it is good news that he currently looks like he is going to spare us, over the next 12-24 hours he is going to become as erratic and irrational as a homeless man on a sherm high.  All bets are off, really.

I was not really sure what to expect when I found out I was heading to Birmingham.   Not only have never been there before, but I never planned, wished, thought, or imagined going there.  Ever.  For any reason.  So unlike the cities of Portland, Los Angeles, or Miami, for example (other places I have never been be have considered visiting) I had no ideas or preconceptions about Birmingham as I loaded up my car and headed here as the first stop of my Gustav evacuation.

Actually, I should say the second stop of my evacuation.  I spent Friday night in Meridian with another brave soul who was willing to evacuate early and spend an evening in Mississippi.  Unfortunately, this was the second time I have spent an evening in the haunted house that is the state of Mississippi.  For the sake of brevity, I will sum up my experience in The Magnolia State by saying this:  Fortunately, the people I encountered that did not immediately scare the shit of me were actually relatively pleasant.  I’ll leave it at that.

Gas prices have gone up 20 cents in 12 hours, the jails are being evacuated and the National Guard will be descending on the city at any minute now.

Ever heard of contraflow?  Yeah, me neither.  Until last night night, that is, when someone explained the subject to me in great detail.  While, in theory, it is really not that hard of a concept to grasp, it becomes almost impossible to comprehend when you realize that you’ll BE one of those schmucks stuck in traffic for 12 hours, headed east in the westbound lanes of I-59 with a car load of your most important belongings.

I’ve already had my fair share of “firsts” since I relocated down to the Big Easy.  Since January I have experienced my first Mardi Gras, my first bowl of turtle soup, my first Jazz Fest, my first crawfish boil and my first concert at Tipitina’s, just to name a few.  And there is a chance I will be experiencing another first as early as Saturday morning:  my first hurricane evacuation.

That bastard Gustav has already got 20 50 some bodies on him and is doing a dance around Jamaica at the moment.  While he is still about 5 days away from hitting US soil, the pained and protracted guessing game has already begun.

As the local weathermen poked holes in the NHC’s computer model of Fay less than a week ago, they were brazenly flippant, dripping with a wisdom and confidence that was oddly reassuring.  “That bitch over there?  Fuck her.  Trust me man, she ain’t shit.”

But Fay was sweeping in from the Atlantic, and those predictions were made after she had been bumping around on land for a few days.  This fucker, though, is a horse of a different color.  Any storm that looks like it will be parking in the Gulf of Mexico before it make another run at land gets more local attention sooner, but there is no news to report that does not involve hypothetical modeling and statistical doubt.

No more meteorologists defiantly holding middle fingers up at the weather map superimposed behind them as it shows tropical disturbances A-F shattering apart as they hit terra firma hundreds of miles to our north or east.  Instead, experts are now cautiously sharing their best guesses, reiterating in no uncertain terms how uncertain they are.

In reality, the chances of even having to evacuate are slim, and it would be irresponsible to make any definitive predictions about a storm system that is 1,200 miles away.  And I wish I could keep my cool like those life long New Orleanians, you know, the ones that used to evacuate to the French Quarter and stave off the hurricanes made famous by Mother Nature with the hurricanes made famous by Pat O’Brien.

But for a newbie like me – someone who didn’t spend their childhood hoping for the tropical storms of yore to blow in so classes at Newman would be canceled for a few days and is only familiar with the collective consciousness of post-Katrina New Orleans – with the uncertainty comes a greater level of stress, worry and anxiety as we play a waiting game.

We have to wait to see what happens as Gus gets the chance to regroup and recharge in the widest part of the Gulf, where the warm water runs deeper than it has in the history of the planet and acts like high octane jet fuel in the hands that ruthless son-of-a-bitch off in the distance.  We have to wait; knowing that there is not a single thing anyone can do to change his path or itinerary; hoping that he at least tips his hand soon enough so everyone that needs to react can react accordingly; and praying that if he really wants to test the mettle of a city just out of the blocks on the long road to recovery, that he isn’t out for blood.